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Mathematics · Grade 12

Probability and Statistical Model Critique

Learners count outcomes with permutations and combinations, use expected value to compare decisions such as buying a warranty or guessing on a test, model repeated trials with the binomial distribution, and critique statistical claims: biased samples, misleading graphs, overfitted models and confusing conditional probabilities.

  • 4 lessons
  • About 135 minutes
  • Probability and critique check: 11 questions
  • Ways to answer: choose an answer, highlight a text, type a number, sort into groups and write a short answer
See plans Included with Family, Teacher and School plans. Open in PlayOwl

What learners will discover

  • Use permutations and combinations to count outcomes and compute probabilities.
  • Compute expected values and use them to evaluate decisions, noting what expected value ignores.
  • Recognize binomial settings and compute binomial probabilities, means and standard deviations.
  • Critique statistical claims and models for bias, misleading displays, overfitting and confused conditional probabilities.

Lessons

  1. Counting and probability 5 steps3 practiceabout 32 min
  2. Expected value and decisions 6 steps3 practiceabout 32 min
  3. The binomial distribution 5 steps3 practiceabout 33 min
  4. Critiquing claims and models 6 steps3 practiceabout 38 min
  5. Probability and critique check 11 questions at the end

Keep exploring

More 12th grade math

Guide for grown-ups