What If? Lab
What if an asteroid struck the Moon?
The Moon is covered in round holes called craters. Space rocks made them. What happens when a new one lands? Let's find out!
The Moon's craters are a record of space rocks landing over billions of years, and small ones still land there every day. Scientists watch for tiny flashes of light on the Moon and later find the brand-new craters. Explore what happens when a rock hits the Moon, and why the Moon keeps going around Earth as always.
With almost no atmosphere, the Moon records impacts in its surface. NASA's Lunar Impact Monitoring Program has recorded over 300 impact flashes since 2005, and the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter found the 18 m crater from the brightest one, in March 2013. Some ejected rock even reaches Earth as lunar meteorites.
The big question
Look at the Moon. Can you see the dark and light patches? Up close, it has lots of round holes called craters.
Space rocks made them. What happens when a new rock lands?
Through binoculars or a telescope, the Moon is covered in craters, from tiny pits to huge bowls. NASA says the Moon's surface is cratered and pitted by impacts from asteroids, meteorites and comets.
So what actually happens when a space rock hits the Moon? And could it change the Moon itself? This is a thought experiment built on real observations: scientists have watched rocks hit the Moon and found the new craters they made. Choose a path and explore.
The Moon's craters preserve billions of years of impact history for the inner solar system, NASA notes: with no liquid water or wind and relatively little erosion, the Moon keeps them well preserved. Impacts still happen: meteoroids strike it every day.
This thought experiment follows a single impact, from the flash of light to the new crater, the material thrown out, and what observers on Earth would see. Facts here come from impact monitoring, orbital imaging and meteorite studies; anything beyond them is labeled an idea.
Explore the idea
Make a prediction
When a space rock hits the Moon, what does it leave behind?
What does a space rock leave behind when it hits the Moon?
What did LRO find at the site of the March 2013 impact flash?
- A new crater
- A new mountain
- Nothing at all
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Established fact
The Moon has no wind or rain to wear craters away.
The Moon's craters can last for billions of years.
Lunar craters are preserved for billions of years (NASA).
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An idea scientists discuss
This is a thinking journey about real space rocks.
This lab imagines one impact using what scientists have really observed; details beyond those observations are ideas.
The scenarios are built on monitoring and imaging data; anything beyond them is reasoned, not predicted.
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Established fact
Space rocks made the Moon's craters.
The Moon's surface is cratered and pitted by impacts from asteroids, meteorites and comets.
The lunar surface records impacts by asteroids, meteorites and comets; craters preserved for billions of years give an impact history of the inner solar system (NASA).
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Established fact
Small space rocks land on the Moon every day.
Because the Moon has almost no air, small rocks called meteoroids hit it every day, at 12 to 40 kilometers per second.
With no atmosphere to stop them, meteoroids strike the Moon daily at 12–40 km/s (Washington University in St. Louis).
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Established fact
Scientists have seen more than 300 flashes on the Moon.
Since 2005, a NASA telescope program has recorded more than 300 flashes on the Moon, thought to be rocks hitting it.
NASA's Lunar Impact Monitoring Program has recorded over 300 flashes since 2005, assumed to be meteoroid impacts.
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Established fact
A spacecraft found a new crater about 18 meters wide.
After the bright flash of March 17, 2013, the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter found a new crater 18 meters across.
Comparing LRO images from before and after 17 March 2013 revealed an 18 m crater at the flash site.
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Established fact
Some rocks knocked off the Moon have landed on Earth.
Lunar meteorites are rocks that impacts knocked off the Moon and that later landed on Earth.
Lunar meteorites are rocks ejected from the Moon by impacts of asteroidal meteoroids or possibly comets (Washington University in St. Louis).
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Established fact
Scientists have found many pieces of the Moon on Earth.
By 2024, scientists had classified nearly 150 separate groups of lunar meteorites, weighing more in total than all the Moon rock the Apollo astronauts brought home.
As of January 2024, nearly 150 lunar meteorite groups were classified, totaling over 417 kg, against about 382 kg returned by Apollo (NASA).
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Established fact
A rock hitting the Moon would not move the Moon.
NASA said that if asteroid 2024 YR4 hit the Moon, the impact would not change the Moon's orbit.
NASA stated in June 2025, when it put the lunar impact probability at 4.3%, that an impact by 2024 YR4 would not alter the Moon's orbit.
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Established fact
That asteroid will miss the Moon and miss Earth too.
In March 2026, new telescope pictures showed that asteroid 2024 YR4 will pass by the Moon without hitting it. NASA also says it poses no significant risk of hitting Earth.
Webb observations on 18 and 26 February 2026 let NASA rule out a lunar impact on 22 December 2032 (a pass about 21,200 km from the surface); NASA had already concluded it poses no significant impact risk to Earth.
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An idea scientists discuss
A new little crater is too small to see from Earth.
A crater the size of the 2013 one, 18 meters across, is far too small to pick out from Earth; spacecraft orbiting the Moon are needed to photograph it.
New craters tens of meters across are found by orbiters comparing before-and-after images; from Earth only the brief flash is detectable.
The Moon today
The Moon has almost no air. So space rocks do not slow down or burn up before they land.
They make craters. The craters stay for a very long time.
The Moon has only a very thin layer of gas around it, far too thin to slow down rocks from space. So meteoroids, small rocky pieces, reach the surface every day, traveling at 12 to 40 kilometers per second.
There is no rain or wind on the Moon to wear craters away, so they can last for billions of years. Tycho Crater, for example, is more than 85 kilometers wide. Over billions of years, impacts have ground the surface into a gray, powdery dust.
The Moon's exosphere is too sparse to impede impacts, so a steady rain of asteroids, meteoroids and comets reaches the surface (NASA). Washington University's meteorite site gives typical meteoroid speeds of 12–40 km/s.
Over billions of years these impacts have pulverized the surface into regolith, a rubble pile of powdery dust and rocky debris above fractured bedrock. The dark maria are impact basins later filled with lava between 4.2 and 1.2 billion years ago.
A new impact
A space rock hits the Moon. There is a quick flash of light!
Then there is a brand-new crater. Bits of Moon dust and rock fly up.
On March 17, 2013, a NASA telescope recorded the brightest flash it had ever seen on the Moon. Later, NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter photographed the spot and compared pictures from before and after. A brand-new crater, about 18 meters across, had appeared.
When a rock hits the Moon, it throws out dust and rock. Any piece thrown fast enough escapes the Moon's gravity. Some of those pieces have traveled all the way to Earth.
NASA's Lunar Impact Monitoring Program at Marshall Space Flight Center has recorded over 300 flashes since 2005, assumed to be meteoroid impacts. The brightest, on 17 March 2013, was followed up by LRO's Narrow Angle Camera, and comparing before-and-after images revealed a new crater 18 m across. Hundreds of other surface changes appear in such image pairs.
Impact ejecta launched faster than the Moon's average escape velocity of 2.38 km/s leave its gravity; most of that material is captured into orbit around Earth or the Sun.
Why the Moon keeps its craters
The Moon has no wind and no rivers or rain.
So its craters stay for a very, very long time. They show where space rocks landed long ago.
On the Moon, craters are kept for billions of years, so its surface is like a history book of space rocks. NASA explains that, with no liquid water or wind, the Moon has kept a record of space-rock impacts for billions of years, a record of how our whole solar system was built and shaped.
Every new crater adds a page. Scientists watch for new impacts by looking for flashes and by comparing spacecraft pictures taken before and after.
Because lunar craters are preserved for billions of years, NASA notes, they provide an impact history for the Moon and other bodies in the inner solar system; NASA attributes their preservation to the relative lack of erosion and other surface processes.
Tracking present-day impacts, through flash monitoring and before-and-after orbital imaging, connects that ancient record to the rate of impacts happening now. The LROC team describes systematically searching its growing set of image pairs for such changes.
Watching from Earth
Scientists watch the Moon with telescopes. Sometimes they see a tiny flash where a rock lands.
Pieces of the Moon have even landed on Earth. Scientists keep them in collections.
From Earth, scientists watch the Moon with telescopes for the flashes made by impacts, and spacecraft later find the new craters.
Pieces of the Moon have also reached Earth by themselves. Rocks knocked off the Moon by impacts have landed here as lunar meteorites, often found in Antarctica and in deserts. By 2024, scientists had classified nearly 150 separate groups of them. Their total mass is more than all the Moon rock the Apollo astronauts brought back.
Lunar meteorites are rocks ejected from the Moon by impacts of asteroidal meteoroids or possibly comets; those captured into Earth orbit fall to Earth over years to tens of thousands of years (Washington University in St. Louis). NASA's Lunar Meteorite Compendium counted nearly 150 classified groups by January 2024, totaling more than 417 kg, against about 382 kg returned by Apollo.
NASA also follows asteroids that pass near the Moon. In June 2025 it estimated a 4.3% chance that asteroid 2024 YR4 would hit the Moon on 22 December 2032, adding that such an impact would not alter the Moon's orbit. Webb observations in February 2026 then sharpened the orbit, and on 5 March 2026 NASA ruled out a lunar impact: the asteroid should pass about 21,200 km from the lunar surface. NASA concluded it poses no significant impact risk to Earth either.
Amazing facts
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One crater on the Moon is more than 85 kilometers wide.
Tycho Crater on the Moon is more than 85 kilometers wide.
NASA gives Tycho Crater's width as more than 85 km.
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Moon rocks found on Earth weigh more than the ones astronauts brought back.
Lunar meteorites found on Earth weigh more than 417 kilograms in total, more than all the Apollo Moon samples.
Recognized lunar meteorites total over 417 kg; Apollo returned about 382 kg (NASA, 2024).
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Scientists keep checking for new craters on the Moon.
By comparing spacecraft photos taken before and after, scientists have spotted hundreds of changes on the Moon's surface.
The LROC team reports hundreds of surface changes in its before-and-after Narrow Angle Camera image pairs.
Words to know
- crater
- a bowl-shaped hole made when a rock from space hits a surface
- asteroid
- a rocky object that orbits the Sun, smaller than a planet
- meteoroid
- a small rocky piece traveling through space
- lunar meteorite
- a rock knocked off the Moon that later landed on Earth
- orbit
- the path one object follows around another, like the Moon around Earth
Discovery challenge
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What made the Moon's craters?
What made the craters on the Moon?
According to NASA, what produced the Moon's craters?
- Space rocks hitting it
- Rain
- Rivers
Show the answer
Space rocks hitting it
Space rocks landing on the Moon.
Impacts from asteroids, meteorites and comets.
Impacts by asteroids, meteorites and comets.
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How wide was the new crater found in 2013?
How wide was the new crater from the March 2013 impact?
What diameter did LRO measure for the March 2013 crater?
- About 18 meters
- About 18 kilometers
- About 18 centimeters
Show the answer
About 18 meters
About 18 meters across.
About 18 meters across.
18 m.
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If a rock hit the Moon, would the Moon stop going around Earth?
NASA studied an asteroid that once had a small chance of hitting the Moon. Would a hit have changed the Moon's path around Earth?
In 2025, what did NASA say an impact by asteroid 2024 YR4 would do to the Moon's orbit?
- No, the Moon would keep its path
- Yes, the Moon would fly away
- Yes, the Moon would stop
Show the answer
No, the Moon would keep its path
No. The Moon keeps going around Earth.
No: NASA said the impact would not change the Moon's orbit.
It would not alter the Moon's orbit.
Experiments to try
- Watch What If? Lab What if the Moon had no craters? The Moon is covered with craters made by space rocks crashing into it. With no wind, rain or flowing water, the Moon keeps its craters for billions of years, while Earth wipes most of its craters away. Imagine a smooth Moon, and discover how scientists count craters to tell how old a surface is.
- Watch What If? Lab What if our Sun were a different color? A star's color tells you how hot it is: red stars are the coolest and blue stars the hottest. Our Sun is actually white, though it looks yellow through our air. NASA scientists have even worked out that plants on planets around other stars might not be green.
- Watch What If? Lab What if you could walk on Jupiter’s cloud tops? Jupiter is so big that about 1,000 Earths could fit inside it, but it has no solid ground at all. Imagine standing on a platform at its cloud tops: you would feel more than twice as heavy, and you could watch a storm twice as wide as Earth.
- Watch What If? Lab What if Earth had rings? Saturn's rings are made of billions of chunks of ice and rock, all circling the planet. Earth has no rings today, but scientists have found clues that it may once have had one. Explore what rings are, where they come from, and what a ring might do to our sky.
- Watch What If? Lab What if a comet passed close to Earth? Comets are icy leftovers from when our solar system formed. Near the Sun, they warm up and grow a glowing cloud and long tails. Dust they leave behind gives us meteor showers. Astronomers have predicted comets' returns for centuries: Halley's Comet is due back in 2061.
- Watch What If? Lab What if you found a meteorite? Meteorites are pieces of space rock that survived a fiery trip through Earth's air. Most come from asteroids, a few from the Moon or Mars, and many are older than any rock ever found on Earth. Imagine finding one: learn the clues scientists look for, what is inside, and why the right first step is to tell a grown-up and ask a museum or university.
Explore next
- Watch What If? Lab What if the Moon had no craters? The Moon is covered with craters made by space rocks crashing into it. With no wind, rain or flowing water, the Moon keeps its craters for billions of years, while Earth wipes most of its craters away. Imagine a smooth Moon, and discover how scientists count craters to tell how old a surface is.
- Watch What If? Lab What if our Sun were a different color? A star's color tells you how hot it is: red stars are the coolest and blue stars the hottest. Our Sun is actually white, though it looks yellow through our air. NASA scientists have even worked out that plants on planets around other stars might not be green.
- Watch What If? Lab What if you could walk on Jupiter’s cloud tops? Jupiter is so big that about 1,000 Earths could fit inside it, but it has no solid ground at all. Imagine standing on a platform at its cloud tops: you would feel more than twice as heavy, and you could watch a storm twice as wide as Earth.
- Watch What If? Lab What if Earth had rings? Saturn's rings are made of billions of chunks of ice and rock, all circling the planet. Earth has no rings today, but scientists have found clues that it may once have had one. Explore what rings are, where they come from, and what a ring might do to our sky.
- Watch What If? Lab What if a comet passed close to Earth? Comets are icy leftovers from when our solar system formed. Near the Sun, they warm up and grow a glowing cloud and long tails. Dust they leave behind gives us meteor showers. Astronomers have predicted comets' returns for centuries: Halley's Comet is due back in 2061.
- Watch What If? Lab What if you found a meteorite? Meteorites are pieces of space rock that survived a fiery trip through Earth's air. Most come from asteroids, a few from the Moon or Mars, and many are older than any rock ever found on Earth. Imagine finding one: learn the clues scientists look for, what is inside, and why the right first step is to tell a grown-up and ask a museum or university.
- Watch What If? Lab What if there were a planet between Mars and Jupiter? Between Mars and Jupiter lies the asteroid belt: millions of rocky leftovers that never built a planet. NASA explains that young Jupiter's gravity stopped them. Explore the belt, Jupiter's tug, the dwarf planet Ceres, and what kind of planet could have formed there.
- Watch Try it What If? Lab What if Earth had no Moon? The Moon's pull stretches Earth's oceans and gives us most of our tides. Take the Moon away in our tide model and see what is left: the Sun still makes tides, but they are less than half as big as the Moon's.
For parents & teachers
What children will learn
- The Moon's craters were made by impacts and last for billions of years.
- Small impacts still happen; scientists detect flashes and photograph new craters.
- Some rocks knocked off the Moon have landed on Earth as lunar meteorites.
- NASA monitors asteroids; an impact like the one once possible for 2024 YR4 would not change the Moon's orbit, and in 2026 NASA ruled that impact out.
Recommended ages: 7 to 17 ยท About 15 minutes
Talk about it
- Why do you think the Moon has so many more visible craters than Earth?
- How could scientists tell that a crater is brand new?
- Which parts of this what-if are observations, and which are ideas?
Try at home or in class
- Fill a tray with flour and sprinkle a thin layer of cocoa on top. Drop marbles from different heights and look at the craters and the splashes of white flour. (Do it outside or over newspaper.)
- Look at the Moon with binoculars on a clear night and sketch the light and dark areas you see.
Key vocabulary: crater, asteroid, meteoroid, lunar meteorite, orbit
Where these facts come from
- Earth's Moon: Facts , NASA Science
- Lunar Craters , NASA Science
- New Crater! , Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter Camera (NASA/GSFC/Arizona State University)
- Lunar Meteorites , Washington University in St. Louis
- Lunar Meteorite Compendium , NASA Astromaterials Acquisition and Curation Office
- NASA's Webb Observations Update Asteroid 2024 YR4's Lunar Impact Odds , NASA Planetary Defense Blog
- New NASA Asteroid Observations Eliminate Chance of 2032 Lunar Impact , NASA Planetary Defense Blog
Checked, not yet human-reviewed. Last updated October 27, 2026. Spotted a mistake? Tell us.